3 April 2013

BN Sabah Bersedia menghadapi PRU-13

Datuk Musa Aman semasa mengumumkan Pembubaran DUN Sabah Petang Tadi Di Sri Gaya Kota Kinabalu
Selepas hampir 5 tahun memerintah berikutan kemenangan hebat pada PRU-12, maka sekali lagi Bn Sabah bersedia menghadapi rakyat untuk PRU-13.

Bagi Sabah, PRU-13 bukan lah merupakan ibu kepada semua pilihanraya, kerana Sabah menerima jolokan sebagai negeri simpanan tetap Bn.

Pada PRU tahun 2008, Bn Sabah menang 24 kerusi Parlimen daripada 25 yang dipertandingkan, manakala Dun, menang 59 kerusi daripada 60 yang tersedia.

Sebelum pembubaran Parlimen dan Dun hari ini, Bn Sabah mempunyai 20 kerusi Parlimen, kerana kehilangan 4 kerusi  dua  daripada SAPP, satu Umno dan satu Upko. Sementara bagi Dun, 57 kerusi, akibat keluarnya SAPP daripada Bn pada 17 September 2008.

Bn Sabah dijangka berdepan beberapa kerusi panas samada di peringkat parlimen mahupun dewan undangan negeri.

Kerusi-kerusi panas di peringkat Parlimen adalah Kota Kinabalu, Tawau, Sandakan, dan Penampang serta Beaufort.

Di peringkat Dun pula, Dun luyang, Dun Klias, Dun moyog, Dun Kepayan, Dun Inanam, Dun Tanjong Kapur, Dun Sri Tanjong, Dun Tanjong Aru, Dun Likas dan Dun Api-Api.

Di antara kawasan Parlimen yang sukar dimenangi oleh Bn adalah Kota Kinabalu, manakala Tawau, Sandakan, Penampang dan Beaufort dalam keadaan 50:50.

Bagi peringkat Dun pula, kawasan Luyang  dan Api-Api adalah kawasan hitam bagi Bn, manakala yang lain adalah kawasan kelabu yang boleh bertukar kepada cerah.

Namun, perlu diingat semasa dalam pilihanraya semuanya boleh berlaku. Startegi kempen yang jitu mampu mengubah pendirian 10 peratus pengundi yang sebelumnya telah memutuskan parti mana yang bakal dipangkah. Selain itu, peranan calon yang bakal dikemukakan juga merupakan salah satu faktor yang boleh menentukan kemenangan.

Dalam suasana kempen, jentera pilihanraya yang baik dan tersusun bakal menggamit 10 peratus sikap pengundi; dan kejayaan inilah yang menentukan kemenangan di kawasan-kawasan yang dianggap kelabu.

Biasanya sebelum pembubaran parlimen atau Dun, 90 peratus pengundi yang berdaftar telah lama membuat pendirian, parti mana yang bakal dipilih, sementara 10 peratus lagi adalah mereka yang masih di atas pagar.

Peranan utama semasa kempen adalah bagaimana mengubah sikap 90 peratus pengundi itu, jika jentera sesebuah parti mampu mengubah sikap 2 peratus sahaja daripada sikap 90 peratus itu, maka parti itulah adalah pemenang; keadaan ini hanya berlaku bagi kawasan yang berkeadaan 50:50 atau kelabu.

Untuk itu, semasa PRU-13 ini, jentera Bn yang terkuat, tersusun dengan baik diperlukan bagi kawasan-kawasan yang disebutkan di atas, bagi menjamin peratusan yang "swing" kepada calon-calon Bn.

25 comments:

Blackforest said...

Insiden pencerobohan kumpulan bersenjata dari Selatan Filipina di Sabah tidak merencat persiapan bagi menghadapi Pilihan Raya Umum ke-13 (PRU-13) negara ini. Timbalan Pengerusi Suruhanjaya Pilihan Raya (SPR) Datuk Wan Ahmad Wan Omar berkata persiapan bagi pilihan raya umum setakat ini berjalan lancar dan pihaknya meletak sepenuh keyakinan kepada pihak berkuasa keselamatan bagi menyelesaikan perkara itu.

Blackforest said...

"Bagi SPR, persiapan menghadapi PRU-13 berjalan lancar tanpa mengira apa-apa senario. Itu urusan keselamatan negara yang sedang ditangani dengan serius oleh pasukan keselamatan kita.
Kita yakin ini akan selesai dan insya-Allah, PRU-13 akan berjalan seperti kita rancangkan," katanya.

Blackforest said...

Beliau berkata pada masa ini, SPR giat memberi taklimat ulangan dan memperhalusi persiapan para pegawai dan petugas, termasuk yang terlibat dalam pilihan raya di luar negara.

Blackforest said...

Wan Ahmad berkata SPR juga bertemu pemimpin parti politik dalam masa terdekat untuk memberi penerangan terakhir, antaranya berkaitan proses perjalanan pilihan raya umum, termasuk pengundian.

Blackforest said...

Seramai 13.29 juta pengundi berdaftar sehingga 31 Dis lepas diwartakan SPR pada Februari lepas, dengan lebih dua juta daripadanya adalah pengundi baharu.

Blackforest said...

Bagi pengundi luar negara, sehingga kini SPR menerima 4,423 permohonan mengundi secara pos menerusi Borang 1B, dengan jumlah tertinggi dari Australia iaitu sebanyak 868.

Permohonan lain adalah daripada rakyat Malaysia yang menetap di United Kingdom sebanyak 634, China 341 dan Amerika Syarikat 259. Permohonan turut diterima dari mereka yang tinggal di Qatar, New Zealand, Mesir dan Jepun.

lina a said...

baguslah kalau BN Sabah sudah bersedia untuk mengahadapi PRU-13

lina a said...

keyakinan dan ketabahan adalah imej yang rakyat mahu dari BN Sabah

lina a said...

setuju....semasa dalam pilihanraya semuanya boleh berlaku...

lina a said...

tetapi semoga PRU-13 ini dapat dijalankan dengan aman dan tenteram tanpa adanya rusuhan atau kacau-bilau

lina a said...

Dalam suasana kempen, jentera pilihanraya yang baik dan tersusun bakal menggamit 10 peratus sikap pengundi; dan kejayaan inilah yang menentukan kemenangan di kawasan-kawasan yang dianggap kelabu.
---> sokong dengan kenyataan ini..

Jason said...

High possibility BN will win again in the coming election.

Jason said...

Datuk Hajiji said the opposition had done BN a service since its unprecedented victory in the 2008 general elections, which allowed them to govern several states in Peninsular Malaysia.
He said the Pakatan Rakyat government had proven their incapability, evident in the numerous teething problems and ever growing disappointment among their constituents.

Jason said...

BN on the other hand, had continued to impress the people, delivered its promises and brought about rapid economic and social development to the people, he added.
“The odd is in our favour. It’s a sure win. This is specially the case for Tuaran, be it the parliament seat or the three state constituencies, even though our member of parliament has defected.

Jason said...

“The same goes for the rest of the country; this is because we have showed that we serve the people. We have proven yet again that we are capable of implementing well-planned and high impact development programmes that greatly benefit the people.

Jason said...

“The constituents here in Tuaran too can see how much changes and development we have brought to them, apart from various schemes and assistance to ease their burden,” he said to reporters when met after officiating at the launch of Skill Training Exhibition at Dewan Seri Sulaman here.

Jason said...

The event organized by the Human Resource Development in collaboration with Tuaran District Office was participated by 22 government and private agencies and institutions offering skill-based
courses and training programme.
Hajiji, who is also the incumbent Local Government and Housing Minister said the voters in Semenanjung had given the opposition the opportunity to live up to their claims but they had failed.

Jason said...

The event organized by the Human Resource Development in collaboration with Tuaran District Office was participated by 22 government and private agencies and institutions offering skill-based
courses and training programme.
Hajiji, who is also the incumbent Local Government and Housing Minister said the voters in Semenanjung had given the opposition the opportunity to live up to their claims but they had failed.

Jason said...

“So I am confident that, not only in Tuaran but across the State and Malaysia in general, we will have a bigger victory this time around. We don’t expect to win all but we know that BN will remain in power, at state as well as at federal level,” he said.
To a question, he said the opposition did not have any real issues they could exploit and would have to resort to unfounded allegations and lies again to try and discredit the government candidates in Tuaran.

Jason said...

He noted that Pakatan top leader Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim had personally come to the district to campaign in the previous election but failed to sway the local community.
The voters in Tuaran, he added, had remained firm behind BN and would continue to do so as they judge the competing parties based on their performance and credibility, not their sugar-coated promises and empty talks.

Jason said...

“When the time comes, the people will decide wisely,” he quipped.
Hajiji declined to comment whether his name has been included in the 2013 BN line up or if he will be defending Sulaman again, the seat he has won comfortably in the last five consecutive elections.

Jason said...

The State BN has yet to reveal its candidate list but those close to him are confident that Hajiji will be entrusted to retain the seat for the Coalition.
Tuaran consists of three state seats, namely Sulaman, Kiulu and Tamparuli, with the last two currently held by Datuk Louis Rampas and Datuk Jahid Jahim from Parti Bersatu Sabah.

Jason said...

The parliamentary seat is held by former United Pasokmomogun deputy president Datuk Seri Panglima Wilfred Bumburing who has left BN and aligned himself with Pakatan.
Earlier at the launch, Hajiji said the event was aimed to promote awareness especially among the youth and school leavers in the area on the importance of acquiring additional knowledge and skills, in addition to academic qualification.

Jason said...

He said this was important as the country needed knowledgeable and highly skilled human capital to propel it towards a developed country status.
A total of 22 private and government institutions offering technical and vocational courses took part in the exhibition.

mantera said...

BN Sabah pasti akan menang.

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